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Hi everyone!
Welcome to this week’s Statpack. It’s our weekly look at leaderboards for our all-encompassing player value stat, Total Points, and some of the stats that our operations team charts throughout the season. Plus, we give you a look at how each matchup this week stacks up with head-to-head comparisons of the teams for their different units.
You can download the full set of stats above. You will get the most out of this e-mail if you download and study the PDFs linked above and read our commentary below.
Total Points Leaderboards
Highlights from the leaderboards in our flagship stat, Total Points, which attempts to measure everything that happens on the field (if you’re new to this, there’s a full primer here):
Think of this as a guide to who the most valuable players at each position are, as well as a power ranking as to which teams are faring best in different aspects of play.
Top 10 Teams Overall
Rams
Seahawks
Broncos
Bills
Lions
Eagles
Texans
Bears
Packers
Patriots
Top 5 Offenses
Rams
Lions
Bills
Colts
Packers
Top 5 Defenses
Browns
Texans
Jaguars
Broncos
Eagles
Total Points Leaders: Quarterbacks
Patrick Mahomes
Bo Nix
Josh Allen
Jordan Love
Jared Goff
Total Points Leaders: Running Backs
Bijan Robinson
Jahmyr Gibbs
De'Von Achane
Jaylen Warren
Javonte Williams
Total Points Leaders: Wide Receivers
Puka Nacua
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
George Pickens
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Ja'Marr Chase
Total Points Leaders: Defensive Ends
Will Anderson Jr.
Myles Garrett
Aidan Hutchinson
Maxx Crosby
Danielle Hunter
Total Points Leaders: Linebackers
Jack Campbell
Devin Lloyd
Carson Schwesinger
Robert Spillane
Nate Landman
Total Points Leaders: Cornerbacks
Christian Benford
Nahshon Wright
Jaylen Watson
Deommodore Lenoir
Jalen Ramsey
Total Points Leaders: Safeties
Kevin Byard III
Talanoa Hufanga
Brandon Jones
Alohi Gilman
Kamren Curl
Note: These rankings are based on unrounded totals which virtually eliminates ties between players or teams.
* Thursday Night Football features the top-ranked Rams and the 2nd-ranked Seahawks in what will be a battle for 1st place in both the NFC West and the NFC. Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads the league in yards with 1541, but Puka Nacua is the leader among wide receivers in Total Points with 62.
* The 3rd-ranked Broncos have taken over the top spot in the AFC Playoff picture after knocking off the Packers this past Sunday. Their defense has been a major factor in their ascension with their league-leading 58 sacks. Bo Nix also only trails Patrick Mahomes in Total Points among quarterbacks by a half-point.
* Myles Garrett is going to set the sack record this year, but still trails Will Anderson Jr. in Total Points. Anderson is getting pressure 22.2% of the time, while Garrett is getting there slightly less at 20.5%.
* If you want to see the Total Points leaders among offensive linemen, defensive tackles, linebackers, kickers, and punters, download the PDF within the e-mail.
Charting Leaderboards
Leaderboards in various statistical categories based on video review by our staff, including long passes, yards after contact, pressures, and pressures above expectations.
Most Completions, Pass Attempts 20+ Yards Downfield
1. Matthew Stafford 30
2. Dak Prescott 26
3. Jordan Love 24
T-4. Jalen Hurts, Sam Darnold, Drake Maye 23
Most Receptions, Targets 20+ Yards Downfield
1. Jaxon Smith-Njigba 13
2. CeeDee Lamb 12
3. Puka Nacua 11
T-4. Zay Flowers, Courtland Sutton 10
Most Yards After Contact (Rushing)
1. Jonathan Taylor 1,014
2. De’Von Achane 819
3. Bijan Robinson 800
4. James Cook 775
5. Javonte Williams 764
Most QB Pressures
1. Aidan Hutchinson 86
2. Micah Parsons 79
3. Will Anderson Jr. 78
4. Myles Garrett 72
5. Jared Verse 67
Most Pressures Above Expectation
1. Jeffery Simmons 25.0
2. Myles Garrett 24.8
3. Micah Parsons 21.6
4. Will Anderson Jr. 19.7
5. Chris Jones 17.4
Lowest Completion Percentage (Cornerbacks)
1. James Pierre 25.0%
2. Jamel Dean 34.1%
3. Joey Porter Jr. 39.5%
4. Quinyon Mitchell 39.7%
5. Donte Jackson 40.0%
Fewest Yards per Cover Snap (Cornerbacks)
1. Jourdan Lewis 0.3
2. Devon Witherspoon 0.3
3. James Pierre 0.3
4. Jamel Dean 0.4
5. Jack Jones 0.4
* Jeffery Simmons is arguably having the best year of his career and is leading the league in Pressures Above Expectation. His 9 sacks are already the most he has had in a season and is currently leading all defensive tackles by 2 sacks.
* In a year where the Steelers defense has been struggling, Joey Porter Jr. has been one of the few bright spots. Along with only allowing a 39.5% completion percentage, he has allowed the lowest Boom Percentage (pass plays that result in an EPA of 1 or more) among cornerbacks at 11.6%.
* Aidan Hutchinson continues to push the pace in total pressures with 86. He also leads the league in quarterback hits with 51.
Matchups and Mismatches
When we look at matchups by unit and compare the teams playing a particular game, there are intriguing matchups and mismatches each week. The Total Points PDF has this for each game in the NFL in a given week.
You can also find much of this information at the SIS DataHub Pro.
Here are some things we noticed:
(All references to rankings are in the context of Total Points Per Play)
* With high winds expected in Seattle, look for the run games to be a focal point in the Rams and Seahawks matchup. The Rams’ top-ranked run blocking unit will face the Seahawks’ 4th-ranked run defense, while the Seahawks last-ranked run blocking will try to get more of a push against the Rams 19th-ranked run defense.
* Jordan Love and the Packers’ 8th-ranked passing attack walk into Soldier Field and will face the Bears’ 6th-ranked pass coverage unit. Love ranks 5th in our Independent Quarterback Rating (IQR) at 106.6 as well.
* The Buccaneers’ 2nd-ranked rushing attack should be able to attack the Panthers’ 31st-ranked run defense. The Panthers have missed 33 tackles on run defense, which is T-6th worst in the league, while the Bucs are 7th in broken and missed tackle rate per attempt at 17.3%.
* The Broncos’ No. 1-ranked passing attack square off with the Jaguars’ No. 1-ranked pass coverage unit. The Jaguars are 2nd with 18 interceptions and 2nd in EPA per pass allowed at -0.11.
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